Match

Erlbach vs 1880 Wasserburg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

Erlbach1880 Wasserburg

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for 1880 Wasserburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs 1880 Wasserburg?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,801) and 1880 Wasserburg (1,708).

Erlbach win59 %
Draw23 %
1880 Wasserburg win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; 1880 Wasserburg have 4, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Deisenhofen(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
1880 Wasserburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Kottern(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 20261860 Rosenheim(home)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Ismaning(away)3-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026Erlbach(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Erlbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 1880 Wasserburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 20261880 Wasserburg 2-2 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1880 Wasserburg score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erlbach1.11.174/155/15
1880 Wasserburg1.52.7310/1411/14

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs 1880 Wasserburg?
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for 1880 Wasserburg.
Where and when is Erlbach vs 1880 Wasserburg played?
Erlbach vs 1880 Wasserburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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