Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Heimstetten, Kirchheim bei München
The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Heimstetten (1,748) and Schwabmünchen (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heimstetten have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Schwabmünchen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 8-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heimstetten(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Heimstetten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Schwabmünchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen 1-3 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Schwabmünchen vs Heimstetten on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Schwabmünchen | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen?
- The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Schwabmünchen.
- Where and when is Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen played?
- Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Heimstetten, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 20261860 München IIvsPfaffenhofen
- Nov 27, 2026Sportfreunde SchwaigvsTuS Geretsried
- Nov 28, 20261860 RosenheimvsLandshut
- Nov 28, 2026IsmaningvsDeisenhofen
- Nov 28, 2026KirchanschöringvsGundelfingen
- Nov 28, 2026KotternvsHankofen-Hailing
- Nov 28, 2026PipinsriedvsSchalding-Heining
- Nov 28, 2026Erlbachvs1880 Wasserburg