Match

Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Heimstetten, Kirchheim bei München

HeimstettenSchwabmünchen

The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Heimstetten (1,748) and Schwabmünchen (1,688).

Heimstetten win51 %
Draw23 %
Schwabmünchen win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heimstetten have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Schwabmünchen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Heimstetten
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(home)0-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 24, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Schwabmünchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)8-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Heimstetten(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pipinsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Heimstetten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Schwabmünchen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Schwabmünchen 1-3 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Schwabmünchen vs Heimstetten on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Heimstetten1.61.559/158/15
Schwabmünchen1.32.328/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Heimstetten321499644651

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen?
The Footlab model makes Heimstetten the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Schwabmünchen.
Where and when is Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen played?
Heimstetten vs Schwabmünchen is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Heimstetten, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Heimstetten and Schwabmünchen

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