Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried played?

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried is played on November 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 21Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde Schwaig

TuS Geretsried

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754) and TuS Geretsried (1,744).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win43 %

Draw26 %

TuS Geretsried win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Erlbach(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schwabmünchen(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Kirchanschöring(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

TuS Geretsried
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pfaffenhofen(home)	2-3	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schalding-Heining(away)	5-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026	Schwabmünchen(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Heimstetten(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 TuS Geretsried win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	TuS Geretsried 2-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Mar 6, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig 1-0 TuS Geretsried	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 26, 2025	TuS Geretsried 1-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: TuS Geretsried vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig	1.8	1.1	5	9/15	9/15
TuS Geretsried	2.0	1.6	2	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and TuS Geretsried sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Sportfreunde Schwaig	33	12	10	11	49	45	46
11	TuS Geretsried	34	12	9	13	50	50	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried?: The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for TuS Geretsried.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried played?: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs TuS Geretsried is played on November 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.