Erlbach vs Kirchanschöring: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 23Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kirchanschöring. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erlbach vs Kirchanschöring?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,801) and Kirchanschöring (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kirchanschöring have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Erlbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kirchanschöring win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring 0-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Erlbach 2-0 Kirchanschöring | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Kirchanschöring 2-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| May 17, 2025 | Kirchanschöring 4-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Erlbach 0-0 Kirchanschöring | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Kirchanschöring 0-2 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Kirchanschöring vs Erlbach on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kirchanschöring score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Kirchanschöring | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erlbach sit 5th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (53 points from 32 matches) and Kirchanschöring sit 3rd (58 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kirchanschöring | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 67 | 35 | 58 |
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Kirchanschöring?
- The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kirchanschöring.
- Where and when is Erlbach vs Kirchanschöring played?
- Erlbach vs Kirchanschöring is played on March 12, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 20271860 München IIvsLandshut
- Mar 12, 20271860 Rosenheimvs1880 Wasserburg
- Mar 13, 2027IsmaningvsGundelfingen
- Mar 13, 2027KotternvsDeisenhofen
- Mar 13, 2027PipinsriedvsHankofen-Hailing
- Mar 13, 2027TuS GeretsriedvsSchalding-Heining
- Mar 13, 2027HeimstettenvsPfaffenhofen
- Mar 13, 2027Sportfreunde SchwaigvsSchwabmünchen