Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schwabmünchen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde SchwaigSchwabmünchen

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schwabmünchen?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,753) and Schwabmünchen (1,688).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win52 %
Draw25 %
Schwabmünchen win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Schwabmünchen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erlbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Kirchanschöring(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Schwabmünchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)8-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Heimstetten(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pipinsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Schwabmünchen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen 2-2 Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Schwabmünchen vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig1.81.159/159/15
Schwabmünchen1.32.328/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Sportfreunde Schwaig33121011494546

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schwabmünchen?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Schwabmünchen.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schwabmünchen played?
Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schwabmünchen is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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