Where and when is Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?

Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on March 19, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 24Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

Erlbach

Sportfreunde Schwaig

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,802) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754).

Erlbach win51 %

Draw27 %

Sportfreunde Schwaig win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Kirchanschöring(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Sportfreunde Schwaig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Erlbach(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schwabmünchen(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Kirchanschöring(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Erlbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-0 Erlbach	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Apr 30, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig 2-0 Erlbach	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 17, 2025	Erlbach 1-0 Sportfreunde Schwaig	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Erlbach on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Erlbach	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	5/15
Sportfreunde Schwaig	1.8	1.1	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erlbach sit 5th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (53 points from 32 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42	35	53
9	Sportfreunde Schwaig	33	12	10	11	49	45	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?: The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
Where and when is Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?: Erlbach vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on March 19, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.