Ermis vs Anagennisi Deryneia: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Anagennisi Deryneia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Anagennisi Deryneia?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Ermis (1,604) and Anagennisi Deryneia (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Anagennisi Deryneia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASPIS(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AEP Polemidion(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AEN(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ermis(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ermis win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Anagennisi Deryneia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia 3-3 Ermis | 3. Division |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ermis 0-1 Anagennisi Deryneia | 3. Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Anagennisi Deryneia 2-2 Ermis | 3. Division |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Ermis 2-3 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Anagennisi Deryneia 0-2 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Anagennisi Deryneia 0-0 Ermis | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ermis on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Anagennisi Deryneia score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Anagennisi Deryneia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Anagennisi Deryneia?
- The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Anagennisi Deryneia.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Anagennisi Deryneia played?
- Ermis vs Anagennisi Deryneia is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.