Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nürnberg: result 1-2 and analysis
DFB Pokal2nd RoundKick-off on October 26, 2011 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Full time
What was the result of Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
1. FC Nürnberg won 1-2 on October 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 64′A. Esswein1. FC Nürnberg
- 68′M. Mendler1. FC Nürnberg
- 78′R. KönigErzgebirge Aue
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 4 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | Union Berlin(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 16, 2011 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 0-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2011 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 3-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2011 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 15, 2011 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2011 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Werder Bremen(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Erzgebirge Aue score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 13; 1. FC Nürnberg score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/13 | 4/13 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2011RB Leipzig0-1FC Augsburg
- Oct 25, 20111. FC Heidenheim0-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Oct 25, 2011SpVgg Unterhaching1-4VfL Bochum
- Oct 25, 2011Fortuna Düsseldorf3-0TSV 1860 München
- Oct 25, 2011Eintracht Trier1-2Hamburger SV
- Oct 25, 2011Borussia Dortmund2-0Dynamo Dresden
- Oct 25, 20111899 Hoffenheim2-11. FC Köln
- Oct 25, 2011SpVgg Greuther Fürth4-0SC Paderborn 07