Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC NürnbergVfL Bochum

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021) and VfL Bochum (1,984).

1. FC Nürnberg win53 %
Draw24 %
VfL Bochum win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Sheffield Utd(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Werder Bremen(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 VfL Bochum win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 20, 2026VfL Bochum 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Sep 20, 20251. FC Nürnberg 2-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
May 16, 20211. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Jan 16, 2021VfL Bochum 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
May 30, 20201. FC Nürnberg 0-0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2019VfL Bochum 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15
VfL Bochum1.31.239/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
7VfL Bochum2101113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum played?
1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Bochum

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