1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021) and VfL Bochum (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 VfL Bochum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | VfL Bochum 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 16, 2021 | 1. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 16, 2021 | VfL Bochum 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 30, 2020 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-0 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 4, 2019 | VfL Bochum 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for VfL Bochum.
- Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum played?
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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