ES Setif vs Témouchent: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
The Footlab model makes ES Setif the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Témouchent. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Setif vs Témouchent?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate ES Setif (1,864) and Témouchent (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Setif have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Témouchent have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Paradou AC(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MC Oran(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | US Chaouia(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | CA Batna(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 8, 2026 | WA Tlemcen(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Tiaret(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | RC Arba(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
ES Setif score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Témouchent score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Setif | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Témouchent | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | ES Setif | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Setif vs Témouchent?
- The Footlab model makes ES Setif the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Témouchent.
- Where and when is ES Setif vs Témouchent played?
- ES Setif vs Témouchent is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 8 Mai 1945, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.