Eskişehirspor vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu, Eskişehir
The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Balıkesirspor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eskişehirspor vs Balıkesirspor?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Eskişehirspor (1,684) and Balıkesirspor (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eskişehirspor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eskişehirspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Balıkesirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor 3-0 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor 2-1 Eskişehirspor | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Balıkesirspor 1-1 Eskişehirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Eskişehirspor 0-3 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Eskişehirspor 0-3 Balıkesirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Balıkesirspor 2-2 Eskişehirspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Eskişehirspor vs Balıkesirspor on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eskişehirspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskişehirspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eskişehirspor vs Balıkesirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Balıkesirspor.
- Where and when is Eskişehirspor vs Balıkesirspor played?
- Eskişehirspor vs Balıkesirspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.