Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor played?

Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli

Denizli İYG

Kepezspor

The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Denizli İYG (1,567) and Kepezspor (1,535).

Denizli İYG win48 %

Draw27 %

Kepezspor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Denizli İYG
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Balıkesirspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Kütahyaspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 4

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Denizli İYG win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kepezspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 17, 2025	Kepezspor 0-0 Denizli İYG	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Kepezspor vs Denizli İYG on Sep 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Denizli İYG	1.1	1.0	8	2/15	5/15
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor?: The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor played?: Denizli İYG vs Kepezspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.