Eskişehirspor vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu, Eskişehir
The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eskişehirspor vs Kepezspor?
Eskişehirspor starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,535).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eskişehirspor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altınordu(home) | 2-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Eskişehirspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskişehirspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
| Kepezspor | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eskişehirspor vs Kepezspor?
- The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kepezspor.
- Where and when is Eskişehirspor vs Kepezspor played?
- Eskişehirspor vs Kepezspor is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Eskişehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.