Where and when is Altay vs Kepezspor played?

Altay vs Kepezspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Altay vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

Altay

Kepezspor

The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altay vs Kepezspor?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Altay (1,485) and Kepezspor (1,535).

Altay win40 %

Draw28 %

Kepezspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Afjet Afyonspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026	Balıkesirspor(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 4

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Altay win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kepezspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 20, 2025	Altay 1-1 Kepezspor	2. Lig
Dec 8, 2024	Kepezspor 3-2 Altay	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Altay vs Kepezspor on Apr 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Altay	0.8	1.7	4	6/15	8/15
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altay vs Kepezspor?: The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Altay vs Kepezspor played?: Altay vs Kepezspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.