ESMTK vs Szegedi VSE: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Szegedi VSE. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ESMTK vs Szegedi VSE?
ESMTK is a heavy favourite: 1,658 Elo points against 1,328, a 330-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ESMTK have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Szegedi VSE have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jánoshalmi(away) | 5-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dabas(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vasas II(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 ESMTK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Szegedi VSE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | ESMTK 3-0 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Szegedi VSE 0-2 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Szegedi VSE 0-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 13, 2024 | ESMTK 8-0 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Southeast |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Szegedi VSE 0-6 ESMTK | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2020 | ESMTK 3-0 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Northwest |
How many goals should we expect?
ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Szegedi VSE score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Szegedi VSE | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ESMTK sit 6th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Szegedi VSE sit 14th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Szegedi VSE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ESMTK vs Szegedi VSE?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Szegedi VSE.
- Where and when is ESMTK vs Szegedi VSE played?
- ESMTK vs Szegedi VSE is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ESMTK Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.