Honvéd II vs ESMTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Honvéd MFA Utánpótlás Központ, Budapest
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Honvéd II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Honvéd II vs ESMTK?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,393).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Honvéd II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; ESMTK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vasas II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dabas(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(home) | 2-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(home) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 1-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Honvéd II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 ESMTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | ESMTK 4-0 Honvéd II | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Honvéd II 2-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| May 18, 2025 | ESMTK 3-2 Honvéd II | NB III - Southeast |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Honvéd II 1-2 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Honvéd II 1-2 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 9, 2023 | ESMTK 2-1 Honvéd II | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Honvéd II score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honvéd II | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Honvéd II sit 15th in NB III - Southeast (1 points from 4 matches) and ESMTK sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Honvéd II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Honvéd II vs ESMTK?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Honvéd II.
- Where and when is Honvéd II vs ESMTK played?
- Honvéd II vs ESMTK is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Honvéd MFA Utánpótlás Központ, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.