Szegedi VSE vs ESMTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Szegedi VSE Stadion, Szeged
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Szegedi VSE. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Szegedi VSE vs ESMTK?
ESMTK is a heavy favourite: 1,654 Elo points against 1,324 — a 330-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Szegedi VSE have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; ESMTK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jánoshalmi(away) | 5-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dabas(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vasas II(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Szegedi VSE win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 ESMTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | ESMTK 3-0 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Szegedi VSE 0-2 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Szegedi VSE 0-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 13, 2024 | ESMTK 8-0 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Southeast |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Szegedi VSE 0-6 ESMTK | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2020 | ESMTK 3-0 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Northwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Szegedi VSE score 1.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szegedi VSE | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Szegedi VSE sit 14th in NB III - Southeast (1 points from 4 matches) and ESMTK sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Szegedi VSE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Szegedi VSE vs ESMTK?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Szegedi VSE.
- Where and when is Szegedi VSE vs ESMTK played?
- Szegedi VSE vs ESMTK is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Szegedi VSE Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.