Estanciano vs Maruinense: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Augusto Franco, Estância, Sergipe
The Footlab AI model makes Estanciano the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Maruinense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estanciano wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estanciano vs Maruinense?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Estanciano (1,405) and Maruinense (1,326).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estanciano vs Maruinense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estanciano
4-3-3- GGeorge
- LLuis Amado
- EElton
- ÍÍtalo Mário
- VValdir
- DDiego Douglas
- BBruno Alves
- RRenan
- VValber
- JJúnior Santos
- DDiogo
Maruinense
4-3-3- GGabriel Andrade
- AAlex Santos Araújo
- AAlex Pernambucano
- MMatheus Felipe de Jesus Alves Lima
- LLuis Fagner da Silva Conceição
- HHebert Henrique de Santana
- EEricon Natan Francisco Guimaraes Souza
- AAdriano Galvão de Melo Júnior
- RRonaldo dos Santos Sousa
- JJhonata Aparecido Nascimento Santos
- WWillian dos Santos Gomes
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estanciano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maruinense have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Sete de Junho(home) | 1-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Botafogo ASF(away) | 2-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 1-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Boca Júnior(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 2-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Socorro Sport(away) | 3-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Aracaju FC(away) | 1-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Flamengo SE(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estanciano score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maruinense score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estanciano | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maruinense | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Estanciano vs Maruinense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estanciano vs Maruinense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estanciano the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Maruinense.
- Where and when is Estanciano vs Maruinense played?
- Estanciano vs Maruinense is played on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Augusto Franco, in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.