Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Carmópolis the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for América de Pedrinhas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carmópolis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Carmópolis (1,416) and América de Pedrinhas (1,413).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carmópolis
4-3-3- SSorriso
- AAllan Santos
- WWalisson
- KKennidy
- JJosé Éverton
- PPedro Victor Cardoso Sobral
- DDaniel Santos
- DDudu Paraíba
- TThierry
- FFelipe
- BBruno Mateus
América de Pedrinhas
4-3-3- EEstênio
- GGeovane Curvelo Nascimento
- AAlef Correia Duarte da Silva
- MMarcelo Sorim
- BBruno Matos Vieira
- EEverton
- WWalef Felipe Cruz
- DDedé Baiano
- MMarquinhos
- JJosé Henrique Silva de Souza
- GGleisiel Sales de Jesus
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmópolis have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; América de Pedrinhas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Flamengo SE(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guarany SE(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lagarto(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 15, 2025 | América SE(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Falcon(away) | 2-3 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Caninde(home) | 1-6 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Desportiva Aracaju(away) | 0-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Boca Júnior(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Olímpico SE(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Carmópolis score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; América de Pedrinhas score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmópolis | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| América de Pedrinhas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carmópolis the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for América de Pedrinhas.
- Where and when is Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas played?
- Carmópolis vs América de Pedrinhas is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.