Match

Este vs Mestre: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Este

EsteMestre

The Footlab AI model makes Este the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Mestre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Este wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Este vs Mestre?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Este (1,729) and Mestre (1,751).

36%31%33%
Este winDrawMestre win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Este vs Mestre

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Este

Not enough data to predict the Este lineup.

Mestre

Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Este have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mestre have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Este
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Luparense(away)0-1Serie D - Girone C
Oct 7, 2026Caldiero Terme(home)0-2Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Conegliano(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Sandona(away)0-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(home)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Mestre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Conegliano(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Oct 7, 2026Schio(home)0-2Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Campodarsego(home)1-1Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026FC Obermais(away)2-2Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Altavilla(home)3-2Serie D - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Este win, 4 draws, 1 Mestre win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Este 0-0 MestreSerie D - Girone C
Nov 19, 2025Este 1-1 MestreCoppa Italia Serie D
Sep 24, 2025Mestre 1-1 EsteSerie D - Girone C
Jan 5, 2025Este 1-2 MestreSerie D - Girone C
Sep 8, 2024Mestre 1-2 EsteSerie D - Girone C
Mar 17, 2024Mestre 1-1 EsteSerie D - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Este vs Mestre on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Este score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Este0.71.135/153/15
Mestre1.01.348/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Este sit 10th in Serie D - Girone C (7 points from 6 matches) and Mestre sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Mestre62409610
10Este6213557

A question about Este vs Mestre?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Este vs Mestre?
The Footlab AI model makes Este the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Mestre.
Where and when is Este vs Mestre played?
Este vs Mestre is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Este and Mestre

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