Estepona vs Real Jaén: result 1-2 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
Full time
What was the result of Estepona vs Real Jaén?
Real Jaén won 1-2 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′Javi CastedoEstepona
- 54′?Real Jaén
- 73′?Real Jaén
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Jaén have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Xerez(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 31, 2025 | Cacereño(away) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Antoniano(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Atlético Central(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estepona win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Real Jaén win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2021 | Estepona 0-1 Real Jaén | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2021 | Real Jaén 1-0 Estepona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (44 points from 34 matches) and Real Jaén sit 5th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Jaén | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 58 |
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 5, 2025Extremadura 19242-2Ucam Murcia
- Oct 5, 2025Antoniano2-1Málaga II
- Oct 5, 2025Linares Deportivo3-2Deportiva Minera
- Oct 5, 2025Recreativo Huelva2-1Lorca Deportiva
- Oct 5, 2025Almería II0-1Águilas
- Oct 5, 2025Puente Genil0-0La Unión Atlético
- Oct 5, 2025Melilla1-1Xerez
- Oct 5, 2025Xerez Deportivo2-1Yeclano