Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Estrela U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estoril U23 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?
Estoril U23 starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,702 vs 1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estoril U23
Not enough data to predict the Estoril U23 lineup.
Estrela U23
Not enough data to predict the Estrela U23 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril U23 have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Estrela U23 have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP U23(home) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Torreense U23(away) | 3-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Academico Viseu U23(away) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Famalicão U23(home) | 4-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Famalicão U23(away) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moreirense U23(home) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | União Leiria U23(home) | 2-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Sporting CP U23(home) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estoril U23 win, 3 draws, 2 Estrela U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Estrela U23 0-0 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Estoril U23 3-2 Estrela U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Estrela U23 1-1 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Estoril U23 3-3 Estrela U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Estrela U23 4-2 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Estoril U23 1-2 Estrela U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23 on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril U23 score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela U23 score 0.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril U23 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Estrela U23 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril U23 sit 2nd in Liga Revelação U23 (16 points from 8 matches) and Estrela U23 sit 19th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Estoril U23 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 19 | Estrela U23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Estrela U23.
- Where and when is Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23 played?
- Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23 is played on December 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 8, 2026Famalicão U23vsVizela U23
- Dec 8, 2026Portimonense U23vsUnião Leiria U23
- Dec 8, 2026Rio Ave U23vsMarítimo U23
- Dec 8, 2026Sporting Braga U23vsAcademico Viseu U23
- Dec 8, 2026Gil Vicente U23vsLeixões U23
- Dec 8, 2026Santa Clara U23vsBenfica U23
- Dec 8, 2026Torreense U23vsSporting CP U23
- Dec 8, 2026Felgueiras U23vsPenafiel U23