Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave U23 the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Marítimo U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rio Ave U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Rio Ave U23 starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,556).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rio Ave U23
Not enough data to predict the Rio Ave U23 lineup.
Marítimo U23
Not enough data to predict the Marítimo U23 lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave U23 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Marítimo U23 have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Moreirense U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Penafiel U23(home) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Famalicão U23(away) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23(away) | 3-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Benfica U23(home) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(home) | 0-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Vizela U23(away) | 1-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gil Vicente U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Rio Ave U23 wins, 0 draws, 1 Marítimo U23 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Rio Ave U23 3-1 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Marítimo U23 0-3 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Rio Ave U23 2-1 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Marítimo U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Rio Ave U23 1-0 Marítimo U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Marítimo U23 3-0 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23 on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marítimo U23 score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave U23 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Marítimo U23 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave U23 sit 4th in Liga Revelação U23 (13 points from 8 matches) and Marítimo U23 sit 18th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 18 | Marítimo U23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave U23 the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Marítimo U23.
- Where and when is Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23 played?
- Rio Ave U23 vs Marítimo U23 is played on December 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 8, 2026Estoril U23vsEstrela U23
- Dec 8, 2026Famalicão U23vsVizela U23
- Dec 8, 2026Portimonense U23vsUnião Leiria U23
- Dec 8, 2026Sporting Braga U23vsAcademico Viseu U23
- Dec 8, 2026Gil Vicente U23vsLeixões U23
- Dec 8, 2026Santa Clara U23vsBenfica U23
- Dec 8, 2026Torreense U23vsSporting CP U23
- Dec 8, 2026Felgueiras U23vsPenafiel U23