Estoril vs Academica: result 2-1 and analysis
Taça de PortugalQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 17, 2017 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Academica?
Estoril won 2-1 on January 17, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 30′Alisson FariasEstoril
- 58′João TraquinaAcademica
- 85′KléberEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Academica have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | Arouca(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Maritimo(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 22, 2016 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Benfica(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Sanjoanense(home) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | Olhanense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 8, 2017 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 19, 2016 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Penafiel(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Academica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | Academica 0-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 6, 2015 | Estoril 1-1 Academica | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Estoril 1-2 Academica | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2014 | Academica 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 10, 2014 | Academica 0-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 2, 2013 | Estoril 1-1 Academica | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Academica | 1.0 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy