SC Covilha vs Guimaraes: result 0-1 and analysis
Taça de PortugalQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 18, 2017 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, Covilhã
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What was the result of SC Covilha vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-1 on January 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 79′HernâniGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Covilha have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Guimaraes have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Penafiel(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Freamunde(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 21, 2016 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 18, 2016 | Leixoes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2016 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2016 | Arouca(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 18, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2016 | Vilafranquense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Covilha score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Covilha | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy