Estoril vs Arouca: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 20, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Arouca won 1-2 on January 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 3′R. GuitaneEstoril
- 8′Rafa MujicaArouca
- 45′Tiago EsgaioArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Moreirense(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 9, 2024 | FC Porto(home) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Farense(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Benfica(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Estrela(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2023 | Arouca 4-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 15, 2023 | Estoril 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Arouca 0-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy