Arouca vs Estoril: result 4-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 13, 2023 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca won 4-3 on August 13, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 10′J. HolsgroveEstoril
- 20′Rafa MujicaArouca
- 49′João MarquesEstoril
- 57′Cristo GonzálezArouca
- 70′Alejandro MarquésEstoril
- 73′Volnei FeltesArouca (o.g.)
- 90′Pedro SantosArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Estoril have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2023 | Brann(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 3, 2023 | Moreirense(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Anadia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2023 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 5-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2023 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arouca win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2023 | Estoril 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Arouca 0-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy