Estoril vs Arouca: result 4-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 26, 2024 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril won 4-1 on October 26, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 24′Henrique AraújoArouca
- 30′Alejandro MarquésEstoril
- 42′Wagner PinaEstoril
- 64′Pedro ÁlvaroEstoril
- 90′J. HolsgroveEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Farense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Maria da Fonte(away) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 5, 2024 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Porto(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Farense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Arouca 4-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 15, 2023 | Estoril 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Arouca 0-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Arouca | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy