Estoril vs Arouca: result 4-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 21, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril won 4-2 on May 21, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 1′Adilson GoianoArouca
- 6′André ClaroEstoril (pen.)
- 19′CarlinhosEstoril
- 30′Bruno GomesEstoril
- 31′Adilson GoianoArouca
- 76′Gustavo TocantinsEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arouca have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2017 | Maritimo(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 8, 2017 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Benfica(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 22, 2017 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Belenenses(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2017 | Tondela(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 7, 2017 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 21, 2017 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estoril win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | Arouca 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2016 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2016 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2014 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Arouca | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy