Estoril vs Benfica: result 1-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 6, 2013 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Benfica?
Benfica won 1-3 on January 6, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 36′N. GaitánBenfica
- 59′Rodrigo José Lima Dos SantosBenfica
- 65′E. SalvioBenfica
- 88′Gonçalo José Gonçalves dos SantosEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Benfica have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2012 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2012 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Moreirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Academica(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2012 | Maritimo(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 10, 2012 | Sporting CP(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 5, 2012 | Barcelona(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Olhanense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 20, 2012 | Celtic(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Benfica score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/12 | 8/12 |
| Benfica | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Benfica sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy