Estoril vs Guimaraes: result 4-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Guimaraes?
Estoril won 4-2 on January 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 27′SamuGuimaraes
- 29′Y. BegraouiEstoril
- 34′M. MitrovićGuimaraes
- 56′Alejandro MarquésEstoril
- 65′Alejandro MarquésEstoril
- 78′Y. BegraouiEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Guimaraes have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 5-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Alverca(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 19, 2025 | SC Braga(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Famalicao(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Guimaraes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Estoril 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 13th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Guimaraes sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy