Guimaraes vs Estoril: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 16, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Estoril?
Guimaraes won 3-2 on August 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′R. GuitaneEstoril
- 42′Miguel NóbregaGuimaraes
- 52′Nélson OliveiraGuimaraes
- 61′R. AbascalEstoril (o.g.)
- 69′Tiago SilvaGuimaraes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Estoril have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Estrela(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Portimonense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2025 | Estrela(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Sporting CP B(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Alverca(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Marítimo(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Guimaraes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Estoril 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 17th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Estoril sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy