Estoril vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 15, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Nacional?
Estoril won 1-0 on September 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′João CarvalhoEstoril
Official lineup for Estoril vs Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estoril
4-3-3- 12João Carvalho
- 14Y. Begraoui
- 11Hélder Costa
- 7Vinicius Zanocelo
- 88Xeka
- 8Michel
- 24Pedro Amaral
- 44K. Boma
- 23Pedro Álvaro
- 22Pedro Carvalho
- 27Joel Robles
Nacional
4-3-3- 7Rúben Macedo
- 72Tiago Reis
- 70A. Appiah
- 10Luís Esteves
- 88Matheus Dias
- 17Daniel Penha
- 5José Gomes
- 38Zé Vitor
- 4Ulisses
- 22Gustavo Garcia
- 37Lucas França
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Boavista(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Vizela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Farense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Arouca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | AVS(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril wins, 1 draw, 3 Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2021 | Nacional 1-2 Estoril | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Estoril 1-2 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Estoril 0-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Nacional 0-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Nacional 4-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Estoril 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nacional | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 18th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 8 matches) and Nacional sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Estoril vs Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy