Estoril vs Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2014 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Nacional?
Estoril won 2-1 on September 14, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 28′Bruno MiguelEstoril
- 51′Marco MatiasNacional
- 64′Bruno MiguelEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nacional have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2014 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2014 | Arouca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2014 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2014 | Belenenses(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2014 | Arouca(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2014 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Belenenses(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Moreirense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | Nacional 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Estoril 3-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 7, 2013 | Estoril 4-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Nacional 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nacional | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy