Estoril vs Nacional: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 17, 2013 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Full time
What was the result of Estoril vs Nacional?
Estoril won 3-1 on August 17, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 30′DjaninyNacional
- 45′Evandro GoebelEstoril
- 45′CarlitosEstoril
- 47′Evandro GoebelEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Nacional have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2013 | GIL Vicente(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2013 | Beira-Mar(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 6, 2013 | Benfica(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 26, 2013 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2013 | Academica(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2013 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2013 | FC Porto(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 28, 2013 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Maritimo(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | Estoril 4-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Nacional 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy