Estoril vs Penafiel: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 2, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 0-1 on January 2, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 45′Fábio AbreuPenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Penafiel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Farense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 8, 2018 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Academico Viseu(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2018 | Farense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Varzim(away) | 4-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Guimaraes B(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Estoril win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | Estoril 3-3 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Penafiel 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy