Estoril vs Penafiel: result 3-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 4, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Penafiel?
Estoril won 3-1 on January 4, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 20′Miguel CrespoEstoril
- 45′CapelaEstoril (o.g.)
- 51′Hugo GomesEstoril
- 90′Paulo HenriquePenafiel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Penafiel have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2020 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 21, 2020 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2020 | SC Braga(away) | 1-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Boavista(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Lusitano GC Évora(home) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2020 | Benfica B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2020 | Leixoes(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2020 | Maritimo(home) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Estoril win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | Penafiel 1-0 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Penafiel 4-2 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 2, 2019 | Estoril 0-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 21, 2015 | Estoril 3-3 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Penafiel 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 2.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy