Estradense vs Villalbés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Villalbés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Villalbés?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Estradense (1,811) and Villalbés (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Villalbés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Villalbés
Not enough data to predict the Villalbés lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Villalbés have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Silva(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Estradense wins, 1 draw, 1 Villalbés win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés 1-2 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Villalbés 0-2 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Estradense 0-0 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Estradense 4-1 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Villalbés 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Estradense 3-1 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Villalbés vs Estradense on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Villalbés score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Villalbés | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (14 points from 9 matches) and Villalbés sit 4th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villalbés | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Estradense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Estradense vs Villalbés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Villalbés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Villalbés.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Villalbés played?
- Estradense vs Villalbés is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.