Estrela do Norte vs Anapolina: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 2, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Anapolina?
Estrela do Norte won 4-3 on August 2, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 22′Ronaldo Rosa dos SantosEstrela do Norte
- 27′Raphael LuzAnapolina
- 70′Ronaldo Rosa dos SantosEstrela do Norte
- 82′Thiago FlorianoAnapolina
- 90′Valdinei Eberton Borges CorreiaAnapolina
What is the recent form of both teams?
In their last match in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Anapolina have 1, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2014 | Brasiliense(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2014 | Villa Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Itaporã(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 0.0 and concede 3.0 goals per match in their last match; Anapolina score 1.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Anapolina | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last match in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy