Estrela do Norte vs Desportiva ES: result 1-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 1Kick-off on February 26, 2020 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Desportiva ES?
Estrela do Norte and Desportiva ES drew 1-1 on February 26, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Desportiva ES have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | Linhares(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Real Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 3, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | Itapemirim(home) | 4-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Linhares(away) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Real Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Desportiva ES score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/13 | 8/13 |
| Desportiva ES | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Desportiva ES | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Estrela do Norte vs Desportiva ES?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy