Estrela do Norte vs Nova Venécia: result 1-2 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 6Kick-off on March 7, 2022 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Nova Venécia?
Nova Venécia won 1-2 on March 7, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 24′?Nova Venécia
- 68′?Estrela do Norte (pen.)
- 88′?Nova Venécia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nova Venécia have 4, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | Vilavelhense(away) | 4-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 21, 2022 | CTE Colatina(home) | 3-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Serra Talhada(home) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | Ferroviario(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Vitória ES(away) | 3-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Vilavelhense(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2022 | CTE Colatina(away) | 4-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nova Venécia score 2.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nova Venécia | 2.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nova Venécia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy