Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES: result 1-3 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 4Kick-off on February 6, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES?
Vitória ES won 1-3 on February 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 29′?Vitória ES (pen.)
- 76′AlemãoVitória ES
- 78′Anderson Penna Fernandez VenturaEstrela do Norte
- 90′?Vitória ES
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vitória ES have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2023 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Nova Venécia(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Serra Talhada(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-4 | Capixaba |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | Vilavelhense(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Porto Vitória(away) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Desportiva ES(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| May 4, 2022 | Real Noroeste(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Real Noroeste(home) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estrela do Norte win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vitória ES win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | Estrela do Norte 1-4 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Vitória ES 2-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Vitória ES 4-2 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Vitória ES 1-2 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Vitória ES 1-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Estrela do Norte 1-0 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES on Apr 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vitória ES score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vitória ES | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy