Estrela vs Guimaraes: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 13, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-1 on August 13, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′Jota SilvaGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guimaraes have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | AS Roma(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2023 | FC Porto(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Portimonense(away) | 1-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2023 | Celje(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Celje(away) | 4-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Tondela(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Fafe(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Guimaraes sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy