Estrela vs Nacional: result 2-0 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on July 23, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
Full time
What was the result of Estrela vs Nacional?
Estrela won 2-0 on July 23, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nacional have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nacional 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Estrela 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy