Estrela vs Nacional: result 2-0 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on July 23, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Nacional?
Estrela won 2-0 on July 23, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nacional have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estrela wins, 1 draw, 2 Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nacional 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Estrela 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Estrela vs Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy