Nacional vs Estrela: result 2-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Nacional won 2-0 on April 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′C. RamírezNacional
- 71′Paulinho BóiaNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Estrela have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Estrela 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Estrela 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Estrela 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Estrela sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy