Estrela vs Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 21, 2023 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Nacional?
Nacional won 0-1 on May 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 81′Pipe GómezNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Nacional have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2023 | Trofense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Moreirense(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Belenenses(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Vilafranquense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Farense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 7, 2023 | Benfica B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 25, 2023 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Feirense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional 0-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Estrela 0-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nacional 4-1 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Nacional | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy