Estrela vs Penafiel: result 3-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 22, 2023 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Penafiel?
Estrela won 3-0 on January 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 12′Ronaldo TavaresEstrela
- 40′João MiguelEstrela (o.g.)
- 54′Gustavo HenriqueEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Trofense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Moreirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Penafiel(home) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Niort(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 9, 2023 | Tondela(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Estrela(away) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Benfica(away) | 0-2 | Taça da Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Estrela 1-1 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Estrela 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Penafiel 0-2 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Estrela 0-1 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penafiel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy