Estrela vs Penafiel: result 1-1 and analysis
Taça da LigaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on December 17, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Full time
What was the result of Estrela vs Penafiel?
Estrela and Penafiel drew 1-1 on December 17, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 69′R. N'doEstrela
- 90′Edi SemedoPenafiel
Official lineup for Estrela vs Penafiel
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estrela
3-4-3- 89Ronald
- 99Gustavo Henrique
- 9João Silva
- 32S. Guzmán
- 6Aloísio Souza
- 25K. Shinga
- 80Erivaldo Almeida
- 71Lucão
- 12Jean Felipe
- 13Miguel Lopes
- 1António Filipe
Penafiel
4-3-3- 7Edi Semedo
- 75Robinho
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 17Roberto
- 21Diogo Batista
- 35Filipe Cardoso
- 11Adriano Castanheira
- 6Leandro Teixeira
- 14João Miguel
- 15Simãozinho
- 73Filipe Ferreira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | Niort(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Moreirense(away) | 2-4 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Benfica(home) | 2-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Belenenses(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | Benfica(away) | 0-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Moreirense(home) | 1-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Benfica B(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Farense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estrela win, 0 draws, 2 Penafiel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2022 | Estrela 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Penafiel 0-2 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2021 | Estrela 0-1 Penafiel | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Estrela vs Penafiel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy