Estrela vs Rio Ave: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 23, 2024 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Rio Ave?
Estrela won 1-0 on December 23, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 36′Tiago GabrielEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Rio Ave have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Arouca(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Farense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Benfica(away) | 0-7 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Moreirense(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Alverca(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Boavista(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Estrela win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rio Ave win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2022 | Rio Ave 1-0 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Estrela 2-5 Rio Ave | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Ave score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Rio Ave | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Rio Ave sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy