Casa Pia vs Arouca: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 20, 2024 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
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What was the result of Casa Pia vs Arouca?
Casa Pia won 3-1 on December 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′J. LivolantCasa Pia
- 20′Leonardo LeloCasa Pia
- 63′A. TrezzaArouca
- 88′S. ObengCasa Pia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | Estoril(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2024 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Chaves(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Farense(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Farense(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Casa Pia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2021 | Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Pia sit 18th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy